Like many DEMs at the moment, I’ve been trying to carefully digest and assess the election news since the 1st debate, not over-reacting or under-worrying about the urgent question: will President Obama still win? In the post below, I promised to share the first major poll with post-debate info from Ohio, and here it is. TPM has a report on CNN’s 1st post-debate poll, with the president leading Romney, 51-47. That’s a bit narrower than the last time the same poll reported, but still it has PBO above 50%.

The recent events have triggered an observation that’s popped up in my mind over the years. So much of public life seems to come down to the performance of people in the spotlight. Think about it in sports terms. Just as playoff series often have a narrative arc, so may political campaigns. As cliche-ridden sportscasters are wont to say, accurately, in the late innings the game is often decided by who executes best. Now, in the series of the debates, Romney’s done the equivalent of winning an opening game, sort of on the road. But there’s 3 more contests coming.

For the Biden-Ryan tilt this Thursday I expect the VP to indict the Romney ticket for its draconian prescriptions on social safety net issues–Medicare, Social Security, Pell grants, women’s healthcare and social issues, will get a lot of coverage by Joe Biden. I expect him to do very well in reminding and informing the country about the full implications of the Repub tickets’ plans.

After that we’ll see again how the race stands. And then, with PBO having 2 more head-to-head re-matches against Mitt, we’ll see how Barack deals with his athletically and ambidextrously dishonest opponent. Despite the challenges involved, I still believe we can win.